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Fredericton Real Estate Market in 2025
What the full year data, including December, tells buyers, sellers, and investors
Introduction
If you live in Fredericton, the real estate market in 2025 probably felt calmer than the headlines suggested. Homes were still selling, prices continued to rise, but the pace was more measured than the frenzy of earlier years. With December numbers now in, we can step back and look at how the year actually finished, and what that means as we head into 2026.
We’re going to walk through pricing, sales activity, inventory, interest rate context, and neighbourhood level trends, using year end data rather than projections. Think of this as a conversation over coffee, grounded in numbers, not hype.
Table of Contents
- Why Fredericton stood out nationally in 2025
- How prices finished the year
- Sales activity and buyer demand
- Inventory levels and market balance
- Interest rates and affordability in context
- What we’re seeing by property type
- Key takeaways from the December data
- Neighbourhood snapshots across Fredericton
- What this means heading into 2026
Why Fredericton stood out nationally in 2025
Fredericton’s national recognition in 2025 wasn’t about rapid price growth. It was about balance.
According to CREA and CMHC data, Fredericton continued to offer:
- Home prices far below the national average
- Steady employment anchored by government, education, and health care
- Consistent population growth without extreme housing volatility
The article published in December 2025 on robbuyting.com outlined how Fredericton combined affordability with stability, which helped it rank highly when compared to larger, more volatile markets
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December data confirms that this stability held through year end.
How prices finished the year
By December 2025, prices across the Fredericton area were still rising, though at a slower pace than earlier in the cycle.
December 2025 pricing snapshot:
- Average sale price: $336,213
- Median sale price: $340,000
- Year over year median price change: up about 9.7%
- Sale to list price ratio: 98.3%
- Median days on market: 24 days
Here’s what that means in practical terms:
- If you’re buying: prices didn’t drop, but bidding pressure eased compared to prior years.
- If you’re selling: homes priced accurately still sold, but buyers were more selective.
Sales activity and buyer demand
December is usually quieter, but 2025 closed with solid activity.
December 2025 sales data:
- Sales: 127 homes sold, up roughly 14% from December 2024
- Dollar volume: $42.7 million, up about 17% year over year
Full year 2025 totals:
- Total sales: 2,360 homes
- Total dollar volume: $873 million
Sales volumes were slightly higher than 2024, confirming that buyer demand remained intact even with higher borrowing costs.
Inventory levels and market balance
Inventory is where the story really shifted in 2025.
December 2025 inventory snapshot:
- Active listings: 442 homes, up about 12% year over year
- Months of inventory: 3.5 months
For context, a balanced market is often considered around four to six months of inventory. Fredericton remained below that threshold.
- For buyers: more choice than a year ago, but still not an oversupplied market.
- For sellers: pricing strategy mattered more than scarcity alone.
Interest rates and affordability in a Fredericton context
According to Bank of Canada data, interest rates stabilized through the second half of 2025. We haven’t seen meaningful cuts yet, but volatility eased.
What helped Fredericton specifically:
- Lower purchase prices softened the impact of higher rates
- Monthly payments remained more manageable than in major metros
- CMHC affordability measures continued to place Fredericton among Canada’s more accessible markets
In plain terms, buyers felt the stress test, but fewer were priced out entirely.
What we’re seeing by property type
Single family homes
- Still the most active segment
- December average price: $336,213
- Median days on market: 24 days
- Strong demand in entry and mid price ranges
Condos and apartments
- Smaller share of overall sales
- Limited inventory kept prices steady
- Appeal strongest among first time buyers and downsizers
Multi unit properties
- Investor interest remained consistent
- Rental demand supported by students and newcomers
- Cash flow remained tighter due to financing costs, but vacancy stayed low
Key takeaways from the December data
- The market stayed resilient through year end
December sales and pricing show no sign of a sharp slowdown. - Inventory growth eased pressure without flipping the market
Buyers gained breathing room, but sellers retained leverage. - Price growth cooled, not reversed
Gains slowed into single digits, which historically supports long term stability. - Neighbourhood performance mattered more than ever
Some areas moved quickly, others required patience and pricing discipline.
Neighbourhood snapshots across Fredericton
The Hill
Located near UNB and St Thomas University, The Hill remained one of the tightest markets.
- Limited listings
- Consistent demand from professionals and academics
- Shorter days on market than the city average
Northside
Everything across the river from downtown, with a mix of older homes and newer subdivisions.
- Slightly lower average prices
- Growing appeal for families
- Longer days on market than the south side
Downtown and adjacent areas
Walkability and proximity drove interest.
- Wide price variation by street
- Appeal to investors and downsizers
- Smaller homes and lots influenced pricing dynamics
What this means heading into 2026
With December numbers now in, Fredericton enters 2026 as a steady, data supported market. Prices are higher than a year ago, but growth has moderated. Inventory is improving without tipping the balance. For most people, outcomes will depend less on timing the market and more on pricing, location, and financing strategy.
If you want to talk through how these numbers apply to your own plans, I’m always happy to compare notes and walk through the data together.
